Terminal Access

Local lead-generation market intelligence for Halcyon Group operators.

Markets Scored
0
— GO · — TEST · — SKIP
Active Markets
0
$0 LSA / mo
Projected Gross Rev / Mo
$0
at month 6 maturity
Projected Net / Mo
$0
— margin
12-Month Projection
Portfolio Trajectory
Top Markets by Net Projection
Performance Ranking
Define Market
Demand & Competition
Economics & Buyers
Budget & Run
Step 1 of 4
Identify the market you're evaluating. Choose from preloaded cities to auto-fill economic data (population, income, homeownership), or type any city manually.
Type any city. If it matches a preloaded entry, population/income/homeownership auto-fill on the Economics step.
State (2-letter)
Auto-fills when you pick a preloaded city.
Vertical / Niche + Add Custom Vertical
Disaster / Weather Risk (for this vertical) FEMA Risk Map
Water damage in Houston/Beaumont = high (hurricanes). HVAC in Phoenix = high (heat). Pest control year-round in TX = high.
Step 2 of 4 — Research
Use the free tools linked on each field to gather these numbers. Plan 15-30 minutes for a thorough market workup.
VA Workflow Open each linked tool in a new tab. Run the relevant search. Plug numbers into the field. Don't guess — if you can't find a number, use the conservative default (already loaded).

Demand Signals

Monthly Search Volume Google Keyword Planner
In Keyword Planner search "[niche] [city]". Use the "Avg monthly searches" value. Free alternative: Keywords Everywhere browser extension.
LSA Est. Leads/Week LSA Bid Simulator
In Google LSA dashboard, during setup the bid simulator preview shows estimated leads/week at your budget. Use the mid-range estimate.
Google Trends Score Google Trends
Search "[niche]" on Google Trends, filter to your state, last 12 months. Score is the average value (0-100).
Population (city + 25mi) Census QuickFacts
Auto-filled if you picked a preloaded city. Otherwise: Census QuickFacts → search city → use Population estimate.

Competition

GBP Competitor Count Google Maps
Google Maps search "[niche] [city]". Count verified businesses in top 20 results. Ignore unverified or out-of-area listings.
Avg Competitor Review Count (top 5)
From the same Google Maps results: average the review count of the top 5 listings. If competitors all have 500+ reviews, the market is dominated.
LSA Competition Google Search
On Google search "[niche] [city]", count the green "Google Screened" / LSA ad boxes at the top. More LSA advertisers = higher CPL.
Top 3 Avg Domain Authority MOZ Link Explorer
MOZ Link Explorer (free: 3 queries/day) or Ahrefs Website Authority Checker (unlimited free). Average the DA of the top 3 competitor websites.
Step 3 of 4 — Economics & Buyers
Demographic data drives qualified-lead conversion. Buyer coverage drives revenue per lead.

Market Economics

Median Household Income ($) DataUSA
DataUSA → search city → "Income" section. Use Median Household Income (full population, not workforce).
Homeownership Rate (%) DataUSA
DataUSA → "Housing" section → "Owner-occupied housing units" %. Higher = more qualified leads.
Insurance Penetration (% of homeowners insured)
National average is ~87%. Higher in suburban markets, lower in rural. Drives PPC qualify rate for restoration verticals.

Buyer Coverage

Approved PPL Buyers in State
Niche cap is 5. Count your approved networks that buy leads for this niche in this state. From TRK-004 Payout Network Master Log.
Network Acceptance Probability (%)
% of leads buyers actually accept (some get rejected for duplicates, geo mismatch, incomplete data). 80% is conservative default.
Step 4 of 4 — Budget & Operations
Set the LSA spend strategy and physical office cost. The calculator translates dollars into projected lead volume in real-time.

LSA Budget Calculator

Monthly LSA Spend ($)
CPL = Cost Per Lead. Each niche has a baseline LSA CPL, adjusted by the LSA competition you set in Step 2. Verify in LSA dashboard →

Physical Office

Office Available Under $200/mo
Search Craigslist, Facebook Marketplace, and LoopNet in the city.
Office Cost ($/mo)
Per-month, all-inclusive if possible. Month-to-month strongly preferred.
Market 1 (Primary)
Market 2 (Stacked)
Data Sources Built-in payout ranges sourced from active network rate cards (eLocal, Marketcall, Service Direct, HomeAdvisor, Modernize), LSA cost-per-lead from Google's published benchmarks, seasonality from Google Trends 5-year data. Rates are USD, conservative blend across tier-2 cities. Custom verticals override defaults for that niche. Tune in Settings.
Score Composition

Each market receives a 0-100 opportunity score weighted across five categories.

CategoryWeightInputs
Demand Signals30Search volume · LSA est. leads · Trends · Population
Competition25GBP competitor count · Avg reviews · LSA density · Top-3 DA
Market Economics20Median income · Homeownership · Disaster risk · Insurance penetration
Monetization15Approved buyers in state · Acceptance probability · Niche payout signal
Operational Feasibility10Office availability · Office cost · LSA available for niche · Suspension risk
Verdict Thresholds
ScoreVerdictAction
75-100GOLaunch LSA + GBP simultaneously. High confidence.
50-74TESTLaunch LSA only with $1,000-2,000 budget. Validate 30-45 days. Add GBP if conversion holds.
0-49SKIPNot worth pursuing. Capital better deployed elsewhere.
Projection Engine

Lead volume = LSA stream + Organic GBP stream, on independent ramp curves.

LSA leads/mo = (budget / effective_CPL) × seasonality
effective_CPL = niche.lsaCpl × competition_adj (low: 0.80, med: 1.00, high: 1.30)

Organic GBP ramp:
  M1-2:   0 leads (verification window)
  M3-4:   10% → 25% of mature potential
  M5-7:   45% → 80%
  M8-12:  88% → 100%
mature_gbp = search_vol × CTR(competition) × call_rate × demand_modifier

Revenue per lead:
  qualified = total × niche.qualifyRate × economics_modifier
  ppc_rev = qualified × niche.ppcAvg
  ppl_rev = qualified × niche.pplAvg × min(buyers, niche.maxBuyers) × acceptance
  disq_ppl = (total - qualified) × pplAvg × buyers × acceptance × 0.40

Costs/mo: LSA budget + office + tech_share + va_share + insurance_amort
Cost Assumptions
Tech Stack Share ($/mo per listing)
VA Share ($/mo per listing)
Insurance + Compliance Amortized
Default LSA Budget
Data Management